

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 67.24% ( | 19.51% ( | 13.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( | 44.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( | 66.99% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% ( | 12.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.91% ( | 38.09% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.25% ( | 44.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.26% ( | 80.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% ( 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 4-0 @ 4.42% ( 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 67.22% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.51% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 1-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| 7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
| 19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
| 20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
| 22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
| 23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
