

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 49.45% | 26.35% | 24.21% |
| Both teams to score 47.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% | 56.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% | 77.46% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% | 22.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.35% | 56.65% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% | 38.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.42% | 75.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.45% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.5% Total : 24.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| 7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
| 19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
| 20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
| 22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
| 23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
