Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 28.88% ( | 25.29% ( | 45.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( | 49.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( | 71.33% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( | 31.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.53% ( | 67.47% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( | 21.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.43% ( | 54.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.88% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 37 |
| 15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 |
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