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Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Bedeau (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pritchard (57'), Rodgers (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Accrington Stanley

Morecambe may be winless in 11 games in all competitions, but they have avoided defeat in their last four home games, and with their previous three home matches finishing all square, we think that they will playing out another draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
28.88% (0.116 0.12) 25.29% (-0.012 -0.01) 45.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.112 0.11)49.28% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.101 0.1)71.33% (-0.104 -0.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.14400000000001 0.14)31.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.167 0.17)67.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.88%
    Accrington Stanley 45.82%
    Draw 25.28%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Accrington

Morecambe
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Gibson (28')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
1-0
Morecambe
Kee (45' pen.)
Brown (63'), Jackson (67')

Rose (73'), Old (85')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Accrington
Ellison (95')
Brough (60'), Campbell (62'), Muller (76')
Oliver (57')
Kee (31'), Clark (90')
Jackson (63')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28187348183061
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29187451302161
3Ipswich TownIpswich291510454292555
4Derby CountyDerby28158545212453
5Bolton WanderersBolton30158738231553
6Barnsley27145836261047
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough271421145321344
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe281351038271144
9Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury29135113631544
10Portsmouth2791173533238
11Exeter CityExeter29108114241138
12Charlton AthleticCharlton2891094339437
13Bristol Rovers29107124352-937
14Port Vale29107122940-1137
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3098133436-235
16Lincoln CityLincoln2771372730-334
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood28611113133-229
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2885152335-1229
19MK Dons2984172740-1328
20Burton Albion2877143756-1928
21Morecambe2869133145-1427
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2768132545-2026
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2875162447-2326
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3056192457-3321

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