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Wycombe Wanderers
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe
1 - 1
Derby
Weir (45+2')
Watts (53'), Ripley (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sibley (59')
McGoldrick (41'), Cashin (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 0-2 Derby County

Derby County have not been convincing on the road so far this season but after scoring four on the weekend Warne's men will be confident in dealing with a struggling Morecambe at the Mazuma Stadium. Morecambe have a poor goalscoring record at home this year and it is hard to see a way that Adams's side get back into the clash if the Rams were to score first on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawDerby County
19.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 23.6% (0.023 0.02) 56.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.052 -0.05)50.91% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.79% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)17.67% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)48.29% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 19.43%
    Derby County 56.96%
    Draw 23.6%
MorecambeDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.43%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 6.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.96%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Derby

Morecambe
10.6%
Draw
8.5%
Derby County
80.9%
47
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth28187351292261
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27177347182958
3Ipswich TownIpswich28159453282554
4Derby CountyDerby27148540211950
5Bolton WanderersBolton29148737231450
6Barnsley26144835251046
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough261321143321141
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe27125103527841
9Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury28125113531441
10Exeter CityExeter28108104139238
11Portsmouth2691073432237
12Bristol Rovers28107114350-737
13Port Vale27106112836-836
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2998123435-135
15Charlton AthleticCharlton2781094138334
16Lincoln CityLincoln2661372430-631
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood27611102930-129
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2785142334-1129
19Morecambe2769123140-927
20MK Dons2874172540-1525
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2567122441-1725
22Burton Albion2767143454-2025
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2774162346-2325
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2956182455-3121

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