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Oct 21, 2022 at 8pm UK at Portman Road Stadium
Ipswich
1 - 0
Derby
Burns (67')
Morsy (10'), Woolfenden (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chester (23'), Smith (51')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 1-1 Derby County

There is not a huge difference in the quality of these two sides, and we are expecting a close match on Friday night. Ipswich will be determined to close the gap on leaders Plymouth, but Derby should be good enough to secure a share of the spoils in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawDerby County
54.07% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 25.06% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 20.88% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.22% (-0.058 -0.06)54.78% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)76.09% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)20.25% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)52.58% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (0.032000000000004 0.03)41.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28% (0.026 0.03)77.71% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 54.06%
    Derby County 20.88%
    Draw 25.05%
Ipswich TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.31%
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.06%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 20.88%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Derby

Ipswich Town
61.4%
Draw
15.9%
Derby County
22.7%
88
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Ipswich
1-1
Derby
Nolan (55')
Bishop (57'), Chalobah (63'), Pennington (94')
Lawrence (2')
Waghorn (21'), Holmes (57'), Bennett (85'), Johnson (94')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
2-0
Ipswich
Ledley (59'), Lawrence (68')
Bryson (16'), Keogh (42')

Skuse (47'), Nsiala (67')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
1-2
Derby
Garner (65')
Webster (43')
Winnall (13', 48')
Nov 28, 2017 7.45pm
Derby
0-1
Ipswich

Lawrence (33'), Russell (90'), Baird (90')
Connolly (5')
Chambers (58'), Webster (64'), Downes (82')
Jan 31, 2017 7.45pm
Ipswich
0-3
Derby
Bryson (9'), Ince (12'), Bent (45')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Alcaraz
Sinner
77 4 2
64 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds392311567313680
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38248667412680
3Ipswich TownIpswich382212474314378
4Barnsley38236966343275
5Bolton WanderersBolton3818101052312164
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough392041565471864
7Derby CountyDerby3918101159411864
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe391881353381562
9Portsmouth3916131054441061
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury38167154747055
11Exeter CityExeter391411145851753
12Charlton AthleticCharlton391313135950952
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood391214134341250
14Lincoln CityLincoln38919103541-646
15Bristol Rovers37129165060-1045
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham39129183449-1545
17Port Vale39129184057-1745
18Burton Albion37119174770-2342
19MK Dons39117213656-2040
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd38911183949-1038
21Accrington StanleyAccrington38811193063-3335
22Morecambe40713203768-3134
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3896233059-2933
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3968252972-4326

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