Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
57.98% (![]() | 21.98% (![]() | 20.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.74% (![]() | 43.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.34% (![]() | 65.65% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% (![]() | 14.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% (![]() | 42.77% (![]() |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% (![]() | 35.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% (![]() | 72.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.36% 3-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.81% Total : 57.98% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 0-0 @ 5.19% 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 41 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 86 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 41 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 85 | 32 | 53 | 85 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 84 |
4 | Barnsley | 41 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 81 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 71 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 70 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 69 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 56 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 41 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 55 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 59 | 56 | 3 | 53 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 48 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 41 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 41 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 42 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 26 |
> Full Version |