

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 35.02% ( | 24.54% ( | 40.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( | 43.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( | 66.09% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( | 24.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.1% ( | 58.89% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( | 21.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.23% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
| 10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
| 13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
| 23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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