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Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at Stadium mk
MK Dons
1 - 4
Plymouth
Grigg (49')
Robson (70'), Cumming (85')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Whittaker (9'), Ennis (25'), Azaz (37', 59')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

While MK Dons are struggling in the relegation zone, Plymouth are involved in a promotion race, and we think that the visitors will continue their fine run of form to claim a sixth consecutive victory in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawPlymouth Argyle
43.84% (-0.817 -0.82) 26.03% (0.266 0.27) 30.13% (0.549 0.55)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.542 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.27% (-0.84 -0.84)51.73% (0.83799999999999 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (-0.735 -0.73)73.5% (0.732 0.73)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.752 -0.75)23.48% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (-1.101 -1.1)57.5% (1.098 1.1)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)31.49% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)67.88% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 43.83%
    Plymouth Argyle 30.13%
    Draw 26.03%
MK DonsDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.105 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.83%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.244 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.274 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.13%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Plymouth

MK Dons
11.5%
Draw
7.7%
Plymouth Argyle
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Plymouth
0-5
MK Dons

Wilson (32'), Houghton (42')
Houghton (45+2')
Twine (17', 40', 60', 77'), Darling (43')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
MK Dons
2-1
Plymouth
Jerome (22'), Fraser (89' pen.)
Jerome (62'), O'Hora (76')
Grant (61')
Mayor (45'), Edwards (89')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
MK Dons
Hardie (68')
Watts (80')

Keogh (34'), Sorensen (44'), Kasumu (79')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth24165343251853
2Ipswich TownIpswich24147346242249
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds24147340182249
4Barnsley22124630181240
5Derby CountyDerby23108529171238
6Bolton WanderersBolton2310762720737
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough231121039281135
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe2410593026435
9Port Vale239592431-732
10Portsmouth2171042824431
11Exeter CityExeter248793736131
12Bristol Rovers248793841-331
13Oxford UnitedOxford Utd237882926329
14Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2385102326-329
15Lincoln CityLincoln2261062227-528
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham2284101723-628
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood2351172525026
18Charlton AthleticCharlton2351083334-125
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2373132134-1324
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257102134-1322
21Burton Albion2457123245-1322
22MK Dons2363142233-1121
23Forest Green RoversForest Green2455142046-2620
24Morecambe2339111934-1518

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