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Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK at Memorial Stadium
Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Cheltenham
Collins (25'), Coburn (39')
Loft (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
May (48')
Ferry (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

There are only three points between these two teams in the league table, and we are expecting it to be a close match on New Year's Day. Both managers will be keen not to lose, which could create a cagey affair, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
53.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)74.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 53.12%
    Cheltenham Town 22.39%
    Draw 24.48%
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.39%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham

Bristol Rovers
70.6%
Draw
23.5%
Cheltenham Town
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-4
Bristol Rovers
Sercombe (54' pen.)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Cheltenham

Baldwin (88')
May (58'), Vassell (71')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Cheltenham
Smith (38', 49'), Clarke-Harris (67')

Thomas (45')
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31207457322567
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30198353203365
3Bolton WanderersBolton32178748232559
4Ipswich TownIpswich311512456312557
5Derby CountyDerby30159648252354
6Barnsley29165841271453
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe301551043291450
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury31146113933648
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough29142134538744
10Portsmouth29101183736141
11Charlton AthleticCharlton301010104541440
12Exeter CityExeter31109124242039
13Lincoln CityLincoln2981472931-238
14Bristol Rovers31108134353-1038
15Port Vale31107143246-1437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3299143640-436
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood30811113434035
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham3096152536-1133
19Burton Albion3087153857-1931
20MK Dons3185182846-1829
21Morecambe30610143249-1728
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2969142547-2227
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3075182551-2626
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3257202559-3422

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