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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
42.4% (![]() | 25.75% (![]() | 31.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% (![]() | 49.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% (![]() | 71.93% (![]() |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% (![]() | 23.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.59% (![]() | 29.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.6% (![]() | 65.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 9.99% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.42% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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