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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Port Vale |
48.22% (![]() | 24.97% (![]() | 26.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.79% | 49.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% | 71.27% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% (![]() | 20.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.11% (![]() | 52.89% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% (![]() | 32.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.78% (![]() | 69.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.6% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.21% | 1-1 @ 11.86% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 84 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 83 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 40 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
4 | Barnsley | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 78 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 41 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 70 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 68 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 41 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 55 |
11 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 55 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 53 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 40 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 52 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 51 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 50 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 46 |
17 | Port Vale | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 46 |
18 | Burton Albion | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 42 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 37 |
23 | Morecambe | 42 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 35 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 41 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 26 |
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