| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portsmouth | 7 | 9 | 17 | 
| 3 | Plymouth Argyle | 7 | 4 | 15 | 
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 5 | 13 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Barnsley | 7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 11 | Oxford United | 7 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Charlton Athletic | 7 | 2 | 9 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United | 
| 34.77% (  0.04) | 26.92% | 38.3% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 51.04% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.84% | 54.16% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.43% | 75.57% (  -0) | 
| Plymouth Argyle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.39% (  0.03) | 29.6% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.36% (  0.03) | 65.64% (  -0.03) | 
| Oxford United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.51% (  -0.02) | 27.48% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.01% (  -0.03) | 62.98% (  0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United | 
| 1-0 @ 9.9% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 7.79% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 6.03% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% (  0) 3-0 @ 2.45% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% (  0) 4-1 @ 0.96% (  0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.14% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.03% (  0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 10.5% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.26% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.79% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% (  -0) 0-3 @ 2.92% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% (  -0) 0-4 @ 0.94% (  -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.29% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 | 
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 | 
| 4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 | 
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 | 
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 | 
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 | 
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 | 
| 10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 | 
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 | 
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 | 
| 13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 | 
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 | 
| 15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 | 
| 16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 | 
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 | 
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 | 
| 19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 | 
| 20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 | 
| 21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 | 
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 | 
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 | 
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