| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 30.63% ( | 26.57% ( | 42.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% ( | 53.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% ( | 75.19% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( | 32.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.36% ( | 68.64% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( | 24.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.54% ( | 59.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
| 12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
| 21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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