Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
