| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Forest Green Rovers | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury Town | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Peterborough United | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 38.5% | 27.31% ( | 34.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% ( | 55.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( | 76.87% ( |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( | 28.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.2% ( | 63.8% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( | 30.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.98% ( | 67.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.49% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 66 |
| 4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 61 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 60 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 54 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 33 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 36 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 34 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 29 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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