| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
| 33.03% ( | 26.05% ( | 40.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( | 50.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( | 29.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35% ( | 65% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( | 24.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.98% ( | 59.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 2-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
| 12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
| 21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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