| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Barnsley | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Oxford United | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Port Vale | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Wycombe Wanderers | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 44.23% ( | 25.95% ( | 29.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( | 51.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( | 73.35% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( | 23.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.88% ( | 57.12% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( | 31.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.96% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 66 |
| 4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 61 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 60 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 54 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 33 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 36 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 34 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 29 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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