| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | MK Dons | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Oxford United | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Derby County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 60.03% ( | 21.87% ( | 18.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( | 45.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( | 14.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.96% ( | 43.04% ( |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( | 38.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.34% ( | 75.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 5-1 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.03% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.86% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
| 12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
| 21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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