Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 25.16% ( | 27.57% ( | 47.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.95% ( | 60.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% ( | 80.27% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( | 39.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.35% ( | 76.64% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.67% ( | 60.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 2-0 @ 4.28% ( 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.37% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 13.93% 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0-3 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 63 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 |
| 6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 |
| 14 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 |
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 31 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 |
| 21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 |
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