

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 45.96% ( | 26.18% ( | 27.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% ( | 74.98% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( | 23.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.88% ( | 57.12% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( | 34.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.21% ( | 70.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Port Vale | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
| 2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 75 |
| 3 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
| 4 | Walsall | 43 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 73 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 70 |
| 6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 66 |
| 8 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 66 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 63 |
| 10 | Salford City | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 62 |
| 11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 62 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 |
| 13 | Bromley | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 57 |
| 15 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 54 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 51 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 48 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 47 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 47 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 46 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 44 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 40 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 43 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 36 |
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