Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham | 
| 37.2% (  0.03) | 28.23% (  0) | 34.56% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 47.04% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.84% (  -0.01) | 59.15% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.41% (  -0.01) | 79.59% (  0.01) | 
| Doncaster Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.43% (  0.02) | 30.57% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.2% (  0.02) | 66.8% (  -0.02) | 
| Gillingham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.75% (  -0.03) | 32.25% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.25% (  -0.03) | 68.74% (  0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Gillingham | 
| 1-0 @ 11.68% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 7.84% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.92% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.1% (  0) 3-0 @ 2.74% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.92% (  0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.86% (  0) 2-2 @ 4.43% (  -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 7.48% (  -0) 0-2 @ 6.31% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% (  -0) 0-3 @ 2.38% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% (  -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.56% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 80 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 70 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 69 | 
| 4 | Stevenage | 39 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 69 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 67 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 | 
| 7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 40 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 63 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 58 | 
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 57 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 | 
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 51 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 40 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 50 | 
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 50 | 
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 48 | 
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 48 | 
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 47 | 
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 47 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 47 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 | 
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 39 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 38 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 38 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 32 | 
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