Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.