Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
41.78% | 26.24% | 31.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.08% | 51.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% | 73.66% (![]() |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% | 24.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% | 59.07% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% (![]() | 30.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% (![]() | 66.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 33 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
> Full Version |