| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Barrow | 5 | 3 | 12 | 
| 4 | Northampton Town | 5 | 3 | 11 | 
| 5 | Doncaster Rovers | 5 | 3 | 11 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 5 | 3 | 11 | 
| 5 | Doncaster Rovers | 5 | 3 | 11 | 
| 6 | Salford City | 5 | 5 | 10 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers | 
| 51.3% (  -0) | 26.08% (  0) | 22.62% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 46.24% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.21% (  0) | 56.79% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.27% | 77.73% | 
| Northampton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.78% | 22.22% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.36% (  0) | 55.64% | 
| Doncaster Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.45% (  0) | 40.55% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.85% (  0) | 77.15% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Northampton Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.3% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.15% (  0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.67% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.25% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.62% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 74 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 67 | 
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 66 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Salford City | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 62 | 
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 58 | 
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 56 | 
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 55 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 51 | 
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 51 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 37 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 | 
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 | 
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 47 | 
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 44 | 
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 | 
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 43 | 
| 19 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 | 
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 36 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 32 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 26 | 
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