| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Barrow | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Crewe Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Doncaster Rovers | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Northampton Town | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 4 | 3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 25.81% ( | 26.69% ( | 47.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.39% ( | 56.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% ( | 77.58% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( | 37.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.72% ( | 74.28% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( | 23.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.95% ( | 58.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 3-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-2 @ 9.19% ( 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 60 |
| 7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 50 |
| 13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
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