Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
