Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Stockport County | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Harrogate Town | 9 | -5 | 8 |
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Newport County | 9 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Crawley Town | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 21 | Colchester United | 9 | -6 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
42.57% ( -0) | 25.81% ( -0) | 31.63% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
