| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Harrogate Town | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Stockport County | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Colchester United | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Sutton United | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 62.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 62.54% ( | 22.36% ( | 15.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( | 52.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( | 74.28% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( | 16.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.08% ( | 45.91% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.06% ( | 46.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.56% ( | 82.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 13.88% ( 2-0 @ 12.58% ( 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 2-2 @ 3.6% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 1-3 @ 1% ( 2-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 15.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 57 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 42 |
| 6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 14 | Walsall | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 37 |
| 15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
| 20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 25 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 22 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 21 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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