| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Mansfield Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Swindon Town | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Hartlepool United | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 35.51% ( | 28.23% ( | 36.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% ( | 59.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% ( | 79.54% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( | 31.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32% ( | 68% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( | 31.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.55% ( | 67.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 1-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 |
| 7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
| 12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
| 14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 |
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 |
| 18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 |
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