| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Sutton United | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Stockport County | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Swindon Town | 4 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 43.87% ( | 25.43% ( | 30.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( | 48.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( | 71.07% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.27% ( | 55.73% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( | 29.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.24% ( | 65.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 60 |
| 7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 50 |
| 13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
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