| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Gillingham | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 23 | Hartlepool United | 7 | -9 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Newport County | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Stockport County | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 7 | -4 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 26.17% ( | 25.02% ( | 48.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( | 49.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( | 71.86% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( | 33.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.82% ( | 70.17% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( | 20.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.09% ( | 52.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 26.17% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
| 14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
| 16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
