| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Crewe Alexandra | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Swindon Town | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 8 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Crawley Town | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 21 | Colchester United | 8 | -5 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 36.09% ( | 25.76% ( | 38.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.85% ( | 49.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.78% ( | 71.22% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( | 26.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( | 25.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40% ( | 60% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 63 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 |
| 6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 |
| 14 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 |
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 31 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 |
| 21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 |
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