| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Northampton Town | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Crewe Alexandra | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Mansfield Town | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Salford City | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Stevenage | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Northampton Town | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stevenage |
| 30.56% ( | 26.99% ( | 42.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.65% ( | 55.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.44% ( | 76.56% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( | 33.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( | 25.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.27% ( | 60.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 50 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 | Walsall | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 45 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 42 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 40 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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