| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Tranmere Rovers | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Salford City | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Northampton Town | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Doncaster Rovers | 7 | 2 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 34.31% ( | 28.01% ( | 37.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% ( | 58.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( | 78.98% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( | 32.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.01% ( | 65.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
| 14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
| 16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
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