Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon | 
| 46.22% | 25.74% | 28.03% | 
| Both teams to score 52.05% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.37% | 51.63% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.58% | 73.41% | 
| Northampton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.69% | 22.31% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.22% | 55.78% | 
| AFC Wimbledon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.99% | 33% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.41% | 69.59% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Northampton Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon | 
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.03% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 | 
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 | 
| 4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 | 
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 | 
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 | 
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 | 
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 | 
| 10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 | 
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 | 
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 | 
| 13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 | 
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 | 
| 15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 | 
| 16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 | 
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 | 
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 | 
| 19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 | 
| 20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 | 
| 21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 | 
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 | 
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 | 
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