Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
