Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
