Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Gillingham |
| 51.86% ( | 26.02% ( | 22.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( | 57.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( | 77.93% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( | 22.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.57% ( | 55.43% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( | 41.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.27% ( | 77.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.73% ( 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.21% Total : 22.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
| 7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
| 14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
| 15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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