Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.