Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.