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Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK at Weston Homes Stadium
League One | Gameweek 38
Peterborough
2 - 0
Derby
Mason-Clark (52'), Ogbeta (83')
Kent (56'), Taylor (75'), Thompson (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

White (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Derby County

This has all of the makings of a very entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals on Saturday afternoon. Both sides are in need of the three points, but the desire not to lose could become a feature of the match, particularly in the second half, so we are backing a score draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawDerby County
38.52%25.65%35.82%
Both teams to score 55.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32%48.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21%70.79%
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59%59.41%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54%61.46%
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 38.52%
    Derby County 35.82%
    Draw 25.65%
Peterborough UnitedDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.52%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 35.82%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Derby

Peterborough United
50.4%
Draw
26.4%
Derby County
23.2%
125
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-1
Peterborough
Knight (88'), McGoldrick (90+2')
Stearman (64')
Knight (69')
Taylor (26'), Thompson (30'), Burrows (41')
Thompson (56')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Derby
1-0
Peterborough
Sibley (90+2')
Byrne (76'), Davies (80'), Sibley (90+3'), Allsop (90+4'), Morrison (90+7')
Lawrence (47')

Coulson (31'), Brown (59'), Jade-Jones (70'), Thompson (76'), Knight (87')
Coulson (35')
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
Peterborough
2-1
Derby
Burrows (90+1'), Dembele (90+9')
Beevers (25'), Thompson (63'), Butler (83'), Dembele (90+9')
Stretton (77')
Sibley (90+1'), Forsyth (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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