| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Colchester United | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 6 | -5 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Newport County | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Harrogate Town | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 24.91% ( | 26.13% ( | 48.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% ( | 55.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( | 76.39% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( | 37.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.74% ( | 74.26% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( | 22.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.84% ( | 56.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 3-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.91% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( 0-2 @ 9.37% ( 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 57 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 42 |
| 6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 14 | Walsall | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 37 |
| 15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 |
| 20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 25 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 22 |
| 23 | Gillingham | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 21 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
