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Walsall
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at Brunton Park
Carlisle
3 - 0
Doncaster
Guy (44'), Stretton (53', 66')
Huntington (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clayton (26'), Williams (69')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Doncaster Rovers

With the sides separated by just one place in the League Two table, it is clear that they are evenly-matched and so we think that they will cancel each other out here. Not only that, but Carlisle have made a habit of drawing games recently, so the same again is likely here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
42.2% (0.052 0.05) 26.99% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 30.81% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (-0.064 -0.06)55.26% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (-0.052 -0.05)76.48% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)32.83% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-0.09 -0.09)69.4% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 42.2%
    Doncaster Rovers 30.81%
    Draw 26.99%
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Doncaster

Carlisle United
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Doncaster Rovers
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
Doncaster
0-2
Carlisle

Furman (37'), Spurr (72'), Griffin (78')
Noble (35', 86')
Noble (45')
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Packers
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient23165235122353
2Stevenage23146334171748
3Northampton TownNorthampton23127438241443
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle23109436231339
5Swindon TownSwindon2410862824438
6Mansfield TownMansfield2311573229338
7Bradford CityBradford2210662721636
8Salford City2210572820835
9BarrowBarrow23112102928135
10Stockport CountyStockport22104833221134
11AFC Wimbledon239772826234
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310492833-534
13Walsall229672720733
14Tranmere RoversTranmere239682519633
15Sutton UnitedSutton2495102330-732
16Grimsby Town227692527-227
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe216781827-925
18Newport CountyNewport2366112125-424
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2264122733-622
20Crawley TownCrawley2356122437-1321
21Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2346132142-2118
22Colchester UnitedColchester2345142031-1117
23Rochdale2243151835-1715
24Gillingham222812727-2014

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