| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Doncaster Rovers | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Bradford City | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sutton United | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle United | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Walsall | 7 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 55.37% ( | 22.7% ( | 21.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( | 44.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( | 66.42% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( | 15.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.1% ( | 44.9% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( | 34.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.26% ( | 70.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
| 14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
| 16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
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