Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 72.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.