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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
42.02% (![]() | 26.87% (![]() | 31.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.29% (![]() | 54.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.97% (![]() | 76.04% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.28% (![]() | 25.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% (![]() | 60.64% (![]() |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% (![]() | 32.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% (![]() | 68.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.29% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |