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Walsall
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at The County Ground
Swindon
1 - 0
Colchester
Shade (64')
Gladwin (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marshall-Miranda (37'), Tchamadeu (45+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Colchester United

Colchester have looked much better on two fronts since the arrival of their new manager, and a first win under Matt Bloomfield in the league last week will have done wonders for their confidence. Swindon will go into the game as favourites but may not know what to expect from a side under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
56.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.14%19.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.002999999999993 0)53.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.98%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.66%
    Colchester United 19.2%
    Draw 24.13%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.36%
4-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Swindon
0-3
Colchester

Baudry (24'), Iandolo (70')
Eastman (45'), Robinson (55', 75')
Wiredu (18')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient23165235122353
2Stevenage23146334171748
3Northampton TownNorthampton23127438241443
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle23109436231339
5Swindon TownSwindon2410862824438
6Mansfield TownMansfield2311573229338
7Bradford CityBradford2210662721636
8Salford City2210572820835
9BarrowBarrow23112102928135
10Stockport CountyStockport22104833221134
11AFC Wimbledon239772826234
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310492833-534
13Walsall229672720733
14Tranmere RoversTranmere239682519633
15Sutton UnitedSutton2495102330-732
16Grimsby Town227692527-227
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe216781827-925
18Newport CountyNewport2366112125-424
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2264122733-622
20Crawley TownCrawley2356122437-1321
21Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2346132142-2118
22Colchester UnitedColchester2345142031-1117
23Rochdale2243151835-1715
24Gillingham222812727-2014

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