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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Newport County |
50.51% (![]() | 25.23% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.77% (![]() | 52.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% (![]() | 73.94% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% (![]() | 20.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% (![]() | 53.29% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.54% (![]() | 36.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.75% (![]() | 73.24% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 11.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 11.99% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 24.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 57 |
2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Salford City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 40 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 39 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
14 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 37 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 37 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 31 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Gillingham | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 21 |
24 | Rochdale | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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