| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 7 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Tranmere Rovers | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 17 | Newport County | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Stockport County | 7 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Newport County |
| 35.75% ( | 28.67% ( | 35.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( | 60.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( | 80.76% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( | 32.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.24% ( | 68.76% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( | 32.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.11% ( | 68.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.74% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
| 14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
| 16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
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