Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
